TWM Bought @ $65.57

ETF Analysis TWM [Shorting Russell Index: AMEX]

Sector: Ultra Short Russell 2000 Pro Shares

Fundamentals: Russel 2000 and also most index are bearish long term. Can be visualized that current P/E trend as of second quarter of 2008 is higher compared to historic P/E average of 15.Technicals: Bounced off from recent low of $63.09 on Sep 2, 2008 compared to $62.24 on August 15, 2008. Forming a MACD divergence and heading up to MA(40) weekly/ MA(200) daily in image below. Also, on August 18, 2008 formed a Bullish Continuation Wedge pattern with potential target of $88.00 within next 60 days.

Cost basis: Bought at $65.57

Target: $75.41

Stop loss: $62.91 [Below Sep 2, 2008 low of $63.09]

Next Earnings: N/A

Last Analyst Rating: N/A

Other comments: Historically September is a bad month for stocks which is in favor for this ETF.

CCK Bought @ $26.73

Stock Analysis CCK [Crown Holdings Inc.: NYSE]
Sector: Packaging & Containers; Containers-Metal/ Glass; Consumer Non-Durables
Fundamentals: Ann. 5 Yr. Hist. EPS Growth 42.25; P/S 0.53. Considering Analysts 5 year average Earnings Growth Rate of 8.33% and applying discount rate of 15% the Intrinsic Value is $32.91 which indicates that this is Undervalued. Also, CCK's 1 year cash flow and revenue growth are 21.05% and 9.42% higher than the industry average, which can indicate that the company is managing its sales and costs better than its competitors are.
Technicals: Bounced off from the MA(40) weekly. On August 20, 2008 formed a Bullish Symmetrical Continuation Triangle pattern as below.
Cost basis: Bought at $26.73
Target: $28.73
Stop loss: $26.46 [Below last three days lows]
Next Earnings: 21-Oct-08
Last Analyst Rating: Buy
Other comments: Over the next 1-2 months, the value stocks will be in favor and also mid-cap stocks will be in favor.

TIN Bought @ $16.27

Stock Analysis TIN [Temple-Inland Inc.: NYSE]
Sector: Paper & Paper Products; Consumer Non-Durables
Fundamentals: ROE 76.30% which is highest in the sector with dividend yield of 2.50%. TIN's 1 year earnings growth is 138.49% higher than the industry average. TIN's price/earnings (P/E)and price/sales (P/S) ratio are 95.50% and 88.40% lower than the industry average, which indicates that investors are buying TIN's revenue at a significant discount.
Technicals:MA(200) daily is $19.26 and MA(40) week is $17.95. P&F Pattern 'Triple Top Breakout Bullish' as of July 30, 2008 with target as $28. Also, 'Megaphone Bottom' pattern formed on July 30, 2008 with target of $20.00. Image below shows uptrend and P&F chart.
Cost basis: Bought at $16.27
Target: $17.77
Stop loss: $15.11 [Below recent two highs of $15.43 (May 20, 2008) & $15.22 (April 8,2008)]
Next Earnings: 22-Oct-08
Last Analyst Rating: Neutral
Other comments: Paper and Paper Products sector is doing well recently.

LDK Bought @ $40.01

Stock Analysis LDK [LDK Solar Co.Ltd: NYSE]

Sector: Diversified Electronics; China Stocks; Energy-Alt Srcs

Fundamentals: LDK's P/E ratio is 72.84% lower than the industry average and P/S ratio is 84.58% lower than the industry average; which indicates that investors are buying LDK's earnings and revenue at a significant discount. LDK's 1 year ROE is 270.35% higher than the industry average.

Technicals: MA(50) moving up and about to cross MA(200). Also current price closing above MA(50) support. Attached image shows them.

Cost basis: Bought at $40.01

Target: $47.31

Stop loss: $34.45 [0.90$ below the recent low of $35.35 on June 12, 2008]

Next Earnings: 06-August-08

Last Analyst Rating: Hold

Other comments: Combination of Alternative Energy due to energy crises and China stocks.

DAR Bought @ $14.94

Stock Analysis DAR [Darling International Inc: NYSE]
Sector: Food-Misc/Diversified ; Agricultural Commodities ; Cleaning Products
Fundamentals: DAR's total debt/equity ratio is 83.93 lower than the industry average. DAR's 1 year ROIC is 47.72% higher than the industry average, which may indicate that DAR has made very good use of its debt and equity capital. DAR's price/earnings (P/E) ratio is 83.07% lower than the industry average.
Technicals: MA(50) and MA(200) are having good upward trend. Also current price is close to MA(50) support. Attached image shows them.
Cost basis: Bought at $14.94
Target: $16.94
Stop loss: $14.04 [Reason MA(50) $14.26]
Next Earnings: 07-August-08
Last Analyst Rating: Mkt Perform
Other comments: The CAPS Screen: 10 Mouth-Watering Consumer Stocks [http://www.fool.com/investing/value/2008/05/20/the-caps-screen-10-mouth-watering-consumer-stocks.aspx]. The rare intersection between today's two hottest sectors: energy and agricultural products [http://seekingalpha.com/article/77772-darling-international-positives-outweigh-the-negatives?source=yahoo]

DHI Short at $14.91

Stock Analysis DHI [DR Horton Inc : NYSE]

Sector: Residential Construction

Fundamentals: DHI's ROE has dipped below the Residential Construction industry's average ROE over the last five years. DHI's 1 year ROA is 35.67% lower than the industry average, which may indicate that DHI has not used assets as successfully as its competitors have. DHI's long-term debt/shareholder's equity ratio has risen above the Residential Construction industry's average within the last five years. DHI's net profit margins have fallen below the Residential Construction industry's average over the last five years.

Technicals: Two Bearish Pattern Recognition as of Close May 09, 2008 as: 'Continuation Wedge (Bearish)' and 'Double Top (Bearish)' with target of $7.75 and $12.20 respectively. Also note that trendline on weekly chart has been broken with PPO bearish divergence. Attached image shows them.

Cost basis: Shorted at $14.91

Target: $13.15
Stop loss: $16.21 [Reason Parabolic SAR(0.05,0.5)]

Next Earnings: 24-July-08

Last Analyst Rating: Strong Buy (!!!)

Other comments: Shares of homebuilders fall on more signs turmoil in the housing market is not over (http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080519/homebuilders_sector_snap.html?.v&quicken=2)

VIP Bought @ $30.09

Stock Analysis VIP [Vimpel-Communications: NYSE]
Sector: Wireless Communications ; Telecomm-Wireless
Fundamentals: The company ROE of 31% also tops the industry average of 10% ; P/E (forward):11.41 with PEG 0.77 ; Dividend: 0.9%
Technicals: Currently MA(50)>MA(200) and they are in very close to each other even though the trend of MA(50) is down. Three Bullish patterns are found: 'Continuation Wedge (Bullish)' as of close on May 2, 2008 with potential target as $39. 'Diamond Bottom (Bullish)' and 'Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bullish)' formation as of close on 06, 2008 with potential target as $36 and $46. Attached image shows the trendline resistance.
Cost basis: Entered on 5/05/2008 for $30.09
Target: $36.13 [Above first bullish pattern target and below high price of Feb 21, 2008 $38.23]
Stop loss: $29.65 [Reason Parabolic SAR(0.05,0.5)]
Next Earnings: 23-May-08
Last Analyst Rating: Hold
Other comments: VIP recently posted fourth-quarter and full-year 2007 results, noting that revenues exceeded $7 billion and grew at a remarkable rate of 47%. The company exhibited growth in many areas and VIP also offers a dividend yield of 0.9%, which is better than the industry average.

TOC Bought @ $36.32

Stock Analysis TOC [Thomson Corp: NYSE]
Sector: Business Information Services ; Business/Management Services ; Computer Services
Fundamentals: ROE: 29.50% ; P/E:5.70 ; Dividend: 3.6%
Technicals: Heavy volume buy on March 13, 2008 and during mid-March 2008 from weekly chart. Forming a base in weekly chart. Market had huge sell off of about 2.02% on Friday, April 11, 2008. But TOC held steady at MA(50) of $35.03 with low of the day as $35.03. Gained 3.05% on Friday, April 11, 2008. Attached image shows the trendline resistance and Symmetrical Triangle which is bullish formation.
Cost basis: Nibble (1/2) entered on 4/14/2008 for $35.61 and remaining 1/2 entered today (4/16/2008) for $37.02. So, cost basis is $36.32
Target 1: $39.13 [Reason MA(200) value is $39.15 and placing profit below that.]
Stop loss: $34.97 [Reason MA(50) value is $35.06 and placing stop loss below that.]
Next Earnings: 1-May-08
Last Analyst Rating: Hold
Other comments: Apr 10, 2008 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) -- BUYINS.NET, http://www.buyins.net/, announced today that these select companies have been on the NASDAQ, AMEX and NYSE naked short threshold list for 13 consecutive trading days: DWS Global Commodities (NYSE: GCS), The Thomson Corporation (NYSE: TOC), Dendreon Corp. (NASDAQ: DNDN), Nastech Pharmaceutical Company Inc. (NASDAQ: NSTK), Saxon Energy Services Inc (OTC: SXEYF). [http://www.zacks.com/research/get_news.php?id=101u7062&t=TOC]
Thomson to Change Name and Ticker Symbols After $16.2 Billion Buyout of Reuters Closes. Once the deal closes, Thomson Reuters Corp. shares will trade on the New York Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "TRI." Thomson's current symbol is "TOC." Thomson Reuters PLC American depositary shares will trade on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbol "TRIN." [http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080408/thomson_reuters_deal.html?.v=2]

SVR Bought today $17.61 / Sold at $18.09

Stock Analysis SVR [Syniverse Holdings Inc. : NYSE]
Sector: Wireless Telecom / Diversified Commun Svcs
Fundamentals: SVR's price/sales (P/S) ratio is 83.22% lower than the industry average and also price/earnings (P/E) ratio is 79.54% lower than the industry average, which indicates that investors are buying SVR's revenue and earnings at a significant discount.

Syniverse Holdings, Inc. provides technology services to wireless carriers worldwide. The company's services include: technology interoperability services, network services, number portability services, call processing services, and enterprise solutions. Its technology interoperability services enable the invoicing and settlement of domestic and international wireless roaming telephone calls, wireless data events, and Wi-Fi sessions. It also provides short messaging service routing and translation services between carriers.

Technicals: MA(50) above MA(200) and are trending upwarding.

Target 1 : $19.11 (Based on previous high of $19.18 in Feb 21, 2008)
Stop loss: $16.89 (Reason MA(50) value is $16.92 and placing stop loss below that)
Next Earnings: 05/05/2008
Last Analyst Rating: Overweight

--Update--

Before I posted this, I sold them off before closing at $18.09 even though my target is not reached. Reason is panic selling after seeing the news that ""Wall Street Pulls Back Following Worse-Than-Expected Profit Data, Minutes From Federal Reserve" [http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080408/wall_street.html] .. toughest thing in trading is handling emotions, which I gave into today !!! Oops!

AHII Short today $10.59

Stock Analysis AHII[Animal Health International, Inc: NasdaqGS]
Sector: Medical Equipment Wholesale
Fundamentals: PEG Ratio 1.03; ROIC 2.60%. AHII's 1 year ROIC is 2.62% lower than the industry average. AHII's Debt/Equity (152.05%) is above 80% and is considered very weak.

Animal Health International, Inc., through its subsidiary, Walco International, Inc., sells and distributes animal health products, supplies, services, and technology in the United States and Canada. It sells approximately 40,000 products sourced from approximately 1,500 manufacturers, as well as provides consultative services to its customers in the animal health products industry. The company's products include pharmaceuticals, vaccines, parasiticides, diagnostics, capital equipment, sanitizers, devices, and supplies. It serves veterinarians, production animal operators, and animal health product retailers. The company was founded in 1954. It was formerly known as Walco International, Inc. and changed its name to Animal Health International, Inc. in 2006. Animal Health International is based in Westlake, Texas.
Technicals: MA(50) crossed below MA(200) with downward slope in trend. 13 week RS Rating is 25
Target 1 : $10.13 (Target 2: $9.97 based on previous low of $9.87)
Stop loss: $11.35 (Reason MA(50) value is $11.25 and placing stop loss above that)
Next Earnings: 05/07/2008

Last Analyst Rating: Outperform

SPN Bought today $40.25

Stock Analysis SPN [Superior Energy Services Inc: NYSE]

Sector: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Fundamentals: PEG Ratio 0.345; ROE 33.20%.

Superior Energy Services, Inc. provides oilfield services and equipment focusing on serving the production-related needs of oil and gas companies in the Gulf of Mexico and the drilling-related needs of oil and gas companies worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Well Intervention, Rental Tools, Marine, Other Oilfield Services, and Oil and Gas. The Well Intervention segment provides plug and abandonment services, coiled tubing services, well pumping and stimulation services, data acquisition services, gas lift services, electric wireline services, hydraulic drilling and workover services, well control services, engineering support, technical analysis, and mechanical wireline services that perform various maintenance and repairs to producing wells, as well as modifications to wells. The Rental Tools segment rents and sells equipment for use with onshore and offshore oil and gas well drilling, completion, production, and workover activities. The Marine segment operates liftboats for production service activities, as well as oil and gas production facility maintenance, construction operations, and platform removals.

Technicals: Heavy volume buy in daily chart for first 3 days of Jan 2008. MA(50) above MA(200).

Target 1 : $42.76 (Target 2: $43.98 based on trendlines resistance shown in image below)

Stop loss: $37.94 (Reason MA(200) value is $38.14 and placing stop loss below that)

Next Earnings: 04/21/2008

Last Analyst Rating: Buy

HXM Bought today $57.51

Stock Analysis HXM [Homex Development Corp: NYSE]
Sector: Real Estate Ops / Property Management
Fundamentals: P/E Ratio 15.30; ROE 25%. PEG Ratio: 0.815
HXM sets a $250 million stock repurchase program, amounting to 8% of its current market capitalization. Unlike the housing market in the U.S., which is faced with weakening demand and structural challenges in mortgage financing, the Mexican homebuilding market is growing rapidly and is supported by conservative lending practices in qualifying Mexican households for a mortgage. Applying a target P/E of 19.5X to our '08 EPS estimate, a premium to US homebuilding stocks to reflect significantly faster growth in what we view as a better market, we keep our 12-mo target price at $75.
Technicals: MA(50) about to cross MA(200).
Target 1 : $61.76 (Target 2: $63.98)
Stop loss: $55.30
Next Earnings: 04/24/2008
Last Analyst Rating: Buy

Swing Trading for wealth

Idea is to take fundamentally sound stock and then use technical / trading system approach to have better risk adjusted return.